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The Working Papers should not be reported as representing the views of the Banco Central do Brasil. The views expressed in the papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the Banco Central.


2010  |   2009  |   2008  |   2007  |   2006  |   2005  |   2004  |   2003  |   2002  |   2001  |   2000
 2010 top
201.  Efeitos da Globalização na Inflação Brasileira  (Portuguese)
Rafael Santos and Márcia S. Leon
January/2010     Abstract     Text

 2009 top
200.  Evolution of Bank Efficiency in Brazil: A DEA Approach  
Roberta B. Staub, Geraldo Souza and Benjamin M. Tabak
December/2009     Abstract     Text

* Published in Evolution of bank efficiency in Brazil: A DEA approach, European Journal of Operational Research, Volume 202, Issue 1, 1 April 2010, Pages 204-213.


199.  Delegated Portfolio Management and Risk Taking Behavior  
José Luiz Barros Fernandes, Juan Ignacio Peña and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
December/2009     Abstract     Text

198.  Impacto dos Swaps Cambiais na Curva de Cupom Cambial: uma análise segundo a regressão de componentes principais  (Portuguese)
Alessandra Pasqualina Viola, Margarida Sarmiento Gutierrez, Octávio Bessada Lion and Cláudio Henrique Barbedo
November/2009     Abstract     Text

197.  Forecasting the Yield Curve for Brazil  
Daniel O. Cajueiro, Jose A. Divino and Benjamin M. Tabak
November/2009     Abstract     Text

196.  The role of macroeconomic variables in sovereign risk  
Marcos S. Matsumura and José Valentim Vicente
October/2009     Abstract     Text

195.  From Default Rates to Default Matrices: a complete measurement of Brazilian banks' consumer credit delinquency  
Ricardo Schechtman
October/2009     Abstract     Text

194.  Testes de contágio entre sistemas bancários - A crise do subprime  (Portuguese)
Benjamin M. Tabak and Manuela M. de Souza
September/2009     Abstract     Text

193.  Loss Given Default: um estudo sobre perdas em operações prefixadas no mercado brasileiro  (Portuguese)
Antonio Carlos Magalhães da Silva, Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins and Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves
September/2009     Abstract     Text

192.  Inadimplência do Setor Bancário Brasileiro: uma avaliação de suas medidas  (Portuguese)
Clodoaldo Aparecido Annibal
September/2009     Abstract     Text

191.  Concentração e Inadimplência nas Carteiras de Empréstimos dos Bancos Brasileiros  (Portuguese)
Patricia L. Tecles, Benjamin M. Tabak and Roberta B. Staub
September/2009     Abstract     Text

190.  Concentração Bancária, Lucratividade e Risco Sistêmico: uma abordagem de Contágio Indireto  (Portuguese)
Bruno Silva Martins and Leonardo S. Alencar
September/2009     Abstract     Text

189.  Linking Financial and Macroeconomic Factors to Credit Risk Indicators of Brazilian Banks  
Marcos Souto, Benjamin M. Tabak and Francisco Vazquez
July/2009     Abstract     Text

188.  Pricing Asian Interest Rate Options with a Three-Factor HJM Model  
Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo, José Valentim Machado Vicente and Octávio Manuel Bessada Lion
June/2009     Abstract     Text

187.  The Influence of Collateral on Capital Requirements in the Brazilian Financial System: an approach through historical average and logistic regression on probability of default  
Alan Cosme Rodrigues da Silva, Antônio Carlos Magalhães da Silva, Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, Myrian Beatriz Eiras da Neves and Giovani Antonio Silva Brito
June/2009     Abstract     Text

186.  Previsão da Curva de Juros: um modelo estatístico com variáveis macroeconômicas  (Portuguese)
André Luís Leite, Romeu Braz Pereira Gomes Filho and José Valentim Machado Vicente
May/2009     Abstract     Text

185.  Market Forecasts in Brazil: performance and determinants  
Fabia A. de Carvalho and André Minella
April/2009     Abstract     Text

184.  Behavior Finance and Estimation Risk in Stochastic Portfolio Optimization  
José Luiz Barros Fernandes, Juan Ignacio Peña and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
April/2009     Abstract     Text

183.  Ganhos da Globalização do Capital Acionário em Crises Cambiais  (Portuguese)
Marcio Janot and Walter Novaes
April/2009     Abstract     Text

182.  Avaliação de Opções Americanas com Barreiras Monitoradas de Forma Discreta  (Portuguese)
Giuliano Carrozza Uzêda Iorio de Souza and Carlos Patrício Samanez
April/2009     Abstract     Text

181.  Monetary Channels in Brazil through the Lens of a Semi-Structural Model  
André Minella and Nelson F. Souza-Sobrinho
April/2009     Abstract     Text

 2008 top
180.  A Class of Incomplete and Ambiguity Averse Preferences  
Leandro Nascimento and Gil Riella
December/2008     Abstract     Text

179.  Are Interest Rate Options Important for the Assessment of Interest Rate Risk?  
Caio Almeida and José Vicente
December/2008     Abstract     Text

* Published in Are Interest Rate Options Important for the Assessment of Interest Rate Risk? Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 33, 2009, 1376-1387.


178.  An Econometric Contribution to the Intertemporal Approach of the Current Account  
Wagner Piazza Gaglianone and João Victor Issler
December/2008     Abstract     Text

177.  Preference for Flexibility and Bayesian Updating  
Gil Riella
December/2008     Abstract     Text

176.  Fiat Money and the Value of Binding Portfolio Constraints  
Mário R. Páscoa, Myrian Petrassi and Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez
December/2008     Abstract     Text

175.  Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Fama-French Framework  
Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez and Wagner Piazza Gaglianone
December/2008     Abstract     Text

174.  Foreign Exchange Market Volatility Information: An Investigation of Real-Dollar Exchange Rate  
Frederico Pechir Gomes, Marcelo Yoshio Takami and Vinicius Ratton Brandi
August/2008     Abstract     Text

173.  Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Relationship between the Random Walk Hypothesis and Official Interventions  
Eduardo José Araújo Lima and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
August/2008     Abstract     Text

172.  Combining Hodrick-Prescott Filtering with a Production Function Approach to Estimate Output Gap  
Marta Areosa
August/2008     Abstract     Text

171.  Modelos para a Utilização das Operações de Redesconto pelos Bancos com Carteira Comercial no Brasil  (Portuguese)
Sérgio Mikio Koyama and Márcio Issao Nakane
August/2008     Abstract     Text

170.  Política de Fechamento de Bancos com Regulador Não-Benevolente: Resumo e Aplicação  (Portuguese)
Adriana Soares Sales
July/2008     Abstract     Text

169.  Mensuração do Risco Sistêmico no Setor Bancário com Variáveis Contábeis e Econômicas  (Portuguese)
Lucio Rodrigues Capelletto, Eliseu Martins and Luiz João Corrar
July/2008     Abstract     Text

168.  An Integrated Model for Liquidity Management and Short-Term Asset Allocation in Commercial Banks  
Wenersamy Ramos de Alcântara
July/2008     Abstract     Text

167.  O Poder Discriminante das Operações de Crédito das Instituições Financeiras Brasileiras  (Portuguese)
Clodoaldo Aparecido Annibal
July/2008     Abstract     Text

166.  Testing Hyperinflation Theories Using the Inflation Tax Curve: A Case Study  
Fernando de Holanda Barbosa and Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
July/2008     Abstract     Text

165.  Avaliação de Opções de Troca e Opções de Spread Européias e Americanas  (Portuguese)
Giuliano Carrozza Uzêda Iorio de Souza, Carlos Patrício Samanez and Gustavo Santos Raposo
July/2008     Abstract     Text

164.  Foreign Banks' Entry and Departure: The Recent Brazilian Experience (1996-2006)  
Pedro Fachada
June/2008     Abstract     Text

163.  Searching for the Natural Rate of Unemployment in a Large Relative Price Shocks' Economy: the Brazilian Case  
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
May/2008     Abstract     Text

162.  Balance Sheet Effects in Currency Crises: Evidence from Brazil  
Marcio M. Janot, Márcio G. P. Garcia and Walter Novaes
April/2008     Abstract     Text

161.  Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions  
Wagner P. Gaglianone, Luiz Renato Lima and Oliver Linton
February/2008     Abstract     Text

160.  The Incidence of Reserve Requirements in Brazil: Do Bank Stockholders Share the Burden?  
Fabia A. de Carvalho and Cyntia F. Azevedo
February/2008     Abstract     Text

* Published in Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. XI, 2008, 61-90.


159.  Behavior and Effects of Equity Foreign Investors on Emerging Markets  
Barbara Alemanni and José Renato Haas Ornelas
February/2008     Abstract     Text

158.  Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates  
Osmani T. Guillen and Benjamin M. Tabak
February/2008     Abstract     Text

* Published in International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Vol. 2, No. 2 (January 2009), 103-114.


 2007 top
157.  Is the Investment-Uncertainty Link Really Elusive? The Harmful Effects of Inflation Uncertainty in Brazil  
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
December/2007     Abstract     Text

156.  Escolha do Banco e Demanda por Empréstimos: um Modelo de Decisão em Duas Etapas Aplicado para o Brasil  (Portuguese)
Sérgio Mikio Koyama and Márcio I. Nakane
December/2007     Abstract     Text

155.  Does Curvature Enhance Forecasting?  
Caio Almeida, Romeu Gomes, André Leite and José Vicente
December/2007     Abstract     Text

154.  Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Brazilian Market for Bank Reserves  
Adriana Soares Sales and Maria Tannuri-Pianto
December/2007     Abstract     Text

153.  Aplicação da Amostragem por Importância à Simulação de Opções Asiáticas Fora do Dinheiro  (Portuguese)
Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins
December/2007     Abstract     Text

152.  Demand for Foreign Exchange Derivatives in Brazil: Hedge or Speculation  
Fernando N. de Oliveira and Walter Novaes
December/2007     Abstract     Text

151.  Building Confidence Intervals with Block Bootstraps for the Variance Ratio Test of Predictability  
Eduardo José Araújo Lima and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
November/2007     Abstract     Text

150.  A Probabilistic Approach for Assessing the Significance of Contextual Variables in Nonparametric Frontier Models: an Application for Brazilian Banks  
Roberta Blass Staub and Geraldo da Silva e Souza
October/2007     Abstract     Text

149.  Joint Validation of Credit Rating PDs under Default Correlation  
Ricardo Schechtman
October/2007     Abstract     Text

148.  Um Modelo de Fatores Latentes com Variáveis Macroeconômicas para a Curva de Cupom Cambial  (Portuguese)
Felipe Pinheiro, Caio Almeida and José Vicente
October/2007     Abstract     Text

147.  Explaining Bank Failures in Brazil: Micro, Macro and Contagion Effects (1994-1998)  
Adriana Soares Sales and Maria Eduarda Tannuri-Pianto
October/2007     Abstract     Text

146.  Movimentos da Estrutura a Termo e Critérios de Minimização do Erro de Previsão em um Modelo Paramétrico Exponencial  (Portuguese)
Caio Almeida, Romeu Gomes, André Leite and José Vicente
October/2007     Abstract     Text

145.  The Stability-Concentration Relationship in the Brazilian Banking System  
Benjamin Miranda Tabak, Solange Maria Guerra, Eduardo José Araújo Lima and Eui Jung Chang
October/2007     Abstract     Text

* Published in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Volume 18, Issue 4, October 2008, Pages 388-397


144.  The Effect of Bid-Ask Prices on Brazilian Options Implied Volatility: A Case Study of Telemar Call Options  
Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
October/2007     Abstract     Text

143.  Price Rigidity in Brazil: Evidence from CPI Micro Data  
Solange Gouvea
September/2007     Abstract     Text

142.  Análise da Coerência de Medidas de Risco no Mercado Brasileiro de Ações e Desenvolvimento de uma Metodologia Híbrida para o Expected Shortfall  (Portuguese)
Alan Cosme Rodrigues da Silva, Eduardo Facó Lemgruber, José Alberto Rebello Baranowski and Renato da Silva Carvalho
August/2007     Abstract     Text

141.  Forecasting Bonds Yields in the Brazilian Fixed Income Market  
Jose Vicente and Benjamin M. Tabak
August/2007     Abstract     Text

140.  Inflation Targeting, Credibility and Confidence Crises  
Aloisio Araujo and Rafael Santos
August/2007     Abstract     Text

139.  Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features  
Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutiérrez, Reinaldo Castro Souza and Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén
June/2007     Abstract     Text

138.  Forecasting Exchange Rate Density using Parametric Models: The Case of Brazil*  
Marcos M. Abe, Eui J. Chang and Benjamin M. Tabak
May/2007     Abstract     Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Finanças, Vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 29-39 (2007)


137.  Monetary Policy Design under Competing Models of Inflation Persistence  
Solange Gouvea and Abhijit Sen Gupta
May/2007     Abstract     Text

136.  Identifying Volatility Risk Premium from Fixed Income Asian Options  
Caio Ibsen R. Almeida and José Valentim M. Vicente
May/2007     Abstract     Text

135.  Evaluation of Default Risk for The Brazilian Banking Sector  
Marcelo Y. Takami and Benjamin M. Tabak
May/2007     Abstract     Text

134.  Amostragem Descritiva no Apreçamento de Opções Européias através de Simulação Monte Carlo: o Efeito da Dimensionalidade e da Probabilidade de Exercício no Ganho de Precisão  (Portuguese)
Eduardo Saliby, Sergio Luiz Medeiros Proença de Gouvêa and Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins
April/2007     Abstract     Text

133.  A New Proposal for Collection and Generation of Information on Financial Institutions' Risk: the case of derivatives*  
Gilneu F. A. Vivan and Benjamin M. Tabak
March/2007     Abstract     Text

* Published in Journal of Derivatives & Hedge Funds (2007) 13, 147–169. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jdhf.1850061


132.  Credit Risk Monte Carlos Simulation Using Simplified Creditmetrics' Model: the joint use of importance sampling and descriptive sampling  
Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins and Eduardo Saliby
March/2007     Abstract     Text

131.  Long-Range Dependence in Exchange Rates: the case of the European Monetary System  
Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, Benjamin M. Tabak and Daniel O. Cajueiro
January/2007     Abstract     Text

* Published in International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 11, No. 2 (March 2008), 199-223.


130.  The role of banks in the Brazilian Interbank Market: Does bank type matter?  
Daniel O. Cajueiro and Benjamin M. Tabak
January/2007     Abstract     Text

129.  Brazil: taming inflation expectations  
Afonso S. Bevilaqua, Mário Mesquita and André Minella
January/2007     Abstract     Text

* Published in in Bank for International Settlements (ed.), “Transmission Mechanisms for Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies”, BIS Papers no. 35, Jan. 2008, pp. 139-158, and in Mello, Luiz de (ed.), “Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies”, OECD, 2008, pp. 43-67


 2006 top
128.  Term Structure Movements Implicit in Option Prices  
Caio Ibsen R. Almeida and José Valentim M. Vicente
December/2006     Abstract     Text

127.  Uma Investigação Baseada em Reamostragem sobre Requerimentos de Capital para Risco de Crédito no Brasil  (Portuguese)
Ricardo Schechtman
December/2006     Abstract     Text

126.  Risk Premium: Insights Over The Threshold  
José L. B. Fernandes, Augusto Hasman and Juan Ignacio Peña
December/2006     Abstract     Text

125.  Herding Behavior by Equity Foreign Investors on Emerging Markets  
Barbara Alemanni and José Renato Haas Ornelas
December/2006     Abstract     Text

124.  The Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: evidence for Brazil*  
Benjamin M. Tabak
November/2006     Abstract     Text

* Published in International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, Vol. 9, no. 8, pp. 1377-1396 (2006)


123.  A Neoclassical Analysis of the Brazilian "Lost-Decades"  
Flávia Mourão Graminho
November/2006     Abstract     Text

122.  Nonlinear Mechanisms of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: a Phillips curve model with threshold for Brazil  
Arnildo da Silva Correa and André Minella
November/2006     Abstract     Text

121.  The Role of Consumer's Risk Aversion on Price Rigidity  
A. Lago Alves and Mirta N. S. Bugarin
November/2006     Abstract     Text

120.  Forecasting Interest Rates: an application for Brazil  
Eduardo J. A. Lima, Felipe Luduvice and Benjamin M. Tabak
October/2006     Abstract     Text

119.  A Central de Risco de Crédito no Brasil: uma análise de utilidade de informação  (Portuguese)
Ricardo Schechtman
October/2006     Abstract     Text

* Published in Journal of Financial Issues, Vol. II, No. 2, pp. 55-75, (2005)


118.  Contagion, Bankruptcy and Social Welfare Analysis in a Financial Economy with Risk Regulation Constraint  
Aloísio P. Araújo and José Valentim M. Vicente
October/2006     Abstract     Text

117.  An Analysis of Off-Site Supervision of Banks' Profitability, Risk and Capital Adequacy: a portfolio simulation approach applied to brazilian banks  
Theodore M. Barnhill, Marcos R. Souto and Benjamin M. Tabak
September/2006     Abstract     Text

116.  Out-Of-The_Money Monte Carlo Simulation Option Pricing: the join use of Importance Sampling and Descriptive Sampling  
Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, Eduardo Saliby and Joséte Florencio do Santos
September/2006     Abstract     Text

115.  Myopic Loss Aversion and House-Money Effect Overseas: an experimental approach  
José L. B. Fernandes, Juan Ignacio Peña and Benjamin M. Tabak
September/2006     Abstract     Text

114.  The Inequality Channel of Monetary Transmission  
Marta Areosa and Waldyr Areosa
August/2006     Abstract     Text

113.  Investigação da Memória de Longo Prazo na Taxa de Câmbio no Brasil*  (Portuguese)
Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Daniel O. Cajueiro
August/2006     Abstract     Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 60, no. 2 (Apr-Jul 2006)


112.  Interdependence and Contagion: an Analysis of Information Transmission in Latin America's Stock Markets  
Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo
July/2006     Abstract     Text

111.  Avaliação de Modelos de Exigência de Capital para Risco de Mercado do Cupom Cambial  (Portuguese)
Alan Cosme Rodrigues da Silva, João Maurício de Souza Moreira and Myriam Beatriz Eiras das Neves
July/2006     Abstract     Text

110.  Fatores de Risco e o Spread Bancário no Brasil  (Portuguese)
Fernando G. Bignotto and Eduardo Augusto de Souza Rodrigues
July/2006     Abstract     Text

109.  The Recent Brazilian Disinflation Process and Costs  
Alexandre A. Tombini and Sergio A. Lago Alves
June/2006     Abstract     Text

108.  O Efeito da Consignação em Folha nas Taxas de Juros dos Empréstimos Pessoais  (Portuguese)
Eduardo A. S. Rodrigues, Victorio Chu, Leonardo S. Alencar and Tony Takeda
June/2006     Abstract     Text

107.  Demand for Bank Services and Market Power in Brazilian Banking  
Márcio I. Nakane, Leonardo S. Alencar and Fabio Kanczuk
June/2006     Abstract     Text

106.  Testing Nonlinearities Between Brazilian Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatilities  
Christiane R. Albuquerque and Marcelo S. Portugal
May/2006     Abstract     Text

105.  Representing Roomates' Preferences with Symmetric Utilities  
José Álvaro Rodrigues Neto
April/2006     Abstract     Text

104.  Extração de Informação de Opções Cambiais no Brasil  (Portuguese)
Eui Jung Chang and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
April/2006     Abstract     Text

103.  The Effect of Adverse Supply Shocks on Monetary Policy and Output  
Maria da Glória D. S. Araújo, Mirta Bugarin, Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Jose Ricardo C. Silva
April/2006     Abstract     Text

102.  Judicial Risk and Credit Market Performance: Micro Evidence from Brazil Payroll Loans  
Ana Carla A. Costa and João M. P. de Mello
April/2006     Abstract     Text

101.  Comparing equilibrium real interest rates: different approaches to measure Brazilian rates  
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Márcio I. Nakane
March/2006     Abstract     Text

 2005 top
100.  Targets and Inflation Dynamics  
Sergio A. L. Alves and Waldyr D. Areosa
October/2005     Abstract     Text

99.  Adequação das Medidas de Valor em Risco na Formulação da Exigência de Capital para Estratégias de Opções no Mercado Brasileiro  (Portuguese)
Gustavo Silva Araújo, Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
September/2005     Abstract     Text

98.  Capital Flows Cycle: Stylized Facts and Empirical Evidences for Emerging Market Economies  
Helio Mori and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
August/2005     Abstract     Text

97.  Finance and the Business Cycle: a Kalman Filter Approach with Markov Switching  
Ryan A. Compton and Jose Ricardo da Costa e Silva
August/2005     Abstract     Text

96.  O que é Estratégia: uma Abordagem Multiparadigmática para a Disciplina  (Portuguese)
Anthero de Moraes Meirelles
August/2005     Abstract     Text

95.  Comment on Market Discipline and Monetary Policy by Carl Walsh  
Maurício S. Bugarin and Fabia A. de Carvalho
April/2005     Abstract     Text

* Published in Oxford Economic Papers-New Series. Oxford Economic Press, Vol. 57, no. 4, pp. 732-739 (2005)


94.  Simulação Histórica Filtrada: Incorporação da Volatilidade ao Modelo Histórico de Cálculo de Risco para Ativos Não-Lineares  (Portuguese)
Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo, Gustavo Silva Araújo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
April/2005     Abstract     Text

93.  Avaliação de Métodos de Cálculo de Exigência de Capital para Risco Cambial*  (Portuguese)
Claudio H. da S. Barbedo, Gustavo S. Araújo, João Maurício S. Moreira and Ricardo S. Maia Clemente
April/2005     Abstract     Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Finanças, Vol. 3, no. 2 (Dec 2005)


92.  Steady State Analysis of an Open Economy General Equilibrium Model for Brazil  
Mirta Noemí Sataka Bugarin, Roberto de Goes Ellery Jr., Victor Gomes Silva and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
April/2005     Abstract     Text

 2004 top
91.  Credit Risk Measurement and the Regulation of Bank Capital and Provision Requirements in Brazil - A Corporate Analysis  
Ricardo Schechtman, Valéria Salomão Garcia, Sergio Mikio Koyama and Guilherme Cronemberger Parente
December/2004     Abstract     Text

90.  Bank Privatization and Productivity: Evidence for Brazil  
Márcio I. Nakane and Daniela B. Weintraub
December/2004     Abstract     Text

* Published, with revisions, in Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 29, nos. 8-9, pp. 2259-2289 (Aug-Sep 2005)


89.  O Mercado de Hedge Cambial no Brasil: Reação das Instituições Financeiras a Intervenções do Banco Central  (Portuguese)
Fernando N. de Oliveira
December/2004     Abstract     Text

88.  Ciclos Internacionais de Negócios: Uma Análise de Mudança de Regime Markoviano para Brasil, Argentina e Estados Unidos  (Portuguese)
Arnildo da Silva Correa and Ronald Otto Hillbrecht
December/2004     Abstract     Text

87.  Mercado de Crédito: Uma Análise Econométrica dos Volumes de Crédito Total e Habitacional no Brasil  (Portuguese)
Ana Carla Abrão Costa
December/2004     Abstract     Text

86.  Identificação do Fator Estocástico de Descontos e Algumas Implicações Sobre Testes de Modelos de Consumo  (Portuguese)
Fabio Araújo and João Victor Issler
May/2004     Abstract     Text

85.  Risk Premia for Emerging Markets Bonds: Evidence from Brazilian Government Debt, 1996-2002  
André Soares Loureiro and Fernando de Holanda Barbosa
May/2004     Abstract     Text

84.  Speculative Attacks on Debts and Optimum Currency Area: A Welfare Analysis  
Aloisio Araujo and Marcia Leon
May/2004     Abstract     Text

83.  Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Inflation? An Analysis for the OECD Industrial Countries  
Thomas Y. Wu
May/2004     Abstract     Text

82.  Carteiras de Opções: Avaliação de Metodologias de Exigência de Capital no Mercado Brasileiro  (Portuguese)
Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo and Gustavo Silva Araújo
March/2004     Abstract     Text

81.  Bank Competition, Agency Costs and the Performance of the Monetary Policy  
Leonardo Soriano de Alencar and Márcio I. Nakane
January/2004     Abstract     Text

 2003 top
80.  Diferenças e Semelhanças entre Países da América Latina: Uma Análise de Markov Switching para os Ciclos Econômicos de Brasil e Argentina (Portuguese)
Arnildo da Silva Correa
October/2003     Abstract     Text

79.  Inclusão do Decaimento Temporal na Metodologia Delta-Gama para o Cálculo do VaR de Carteiras Compradas em Opções no Brasil* (Portuguese)
Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo, Gustavo Silva Araújo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
October/2003     Abstract     Text

* Published in Revista de Economia e Administração do IBMEC, Vol. 2, no. 3, (Jul-Sep 2003)


78.  Contornando os Pressupostos de Black & Scholes: Aplicação do Modelo de Precificação de Opções de Duan no Mercado Brasileiro (Portuguese)
Gustavo Silva Araújo, Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo, Antonio Carlos Figueiredo and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
October/2003     Abstract     Text

77.  Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Constructing Credibility under Exchange Rate Volatility*
André Minella, Paulo Springer de Freitas, Ilan Goldfajn and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
July/2003     Abstract     Text

* Published in Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 22, no. 7, pp. 1015-1040 (Dec 2003)

** Shorter and updated version of Working Paper no. 53


76.  Inflation Targeting in Emerging Market Economies*
Arminio Fraga, Ilan Goldfajn and André Minella
June/2003     Abstract     Text

* Published in Gertler, Mark, and Kenneth Rogoff (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Vol. 18, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press, pp. 365-400


75.  Brazil’s Financial System: Resilience to Shocks, no Currency Substitution, but Struggling to Promote Growth
Ilan Goldfajn, Katherine Hennings and Hélio Mori
June/2003     Abstract     Text

74.  Aplicação do Modelo de Black, Derman & Toy à Precificação de Opções Sobre Títulos de Renda Fixa (Portuguese)
Octavio Manuel Bessada Lion, Carlos Alberto Nunes Cosenza and César das Neves
May/2003     Abstract     Text

73.  Análise de componentes principais de dados funcionais - uma aplicação às estruturas a termo de taxas de juros (Portuguese)
Getúlio Borges da Silveira e Octavio Bessada
May/2003     Abstract     Text

72.  O Prêmio pela Maturidade na Estrutura a Termo das Taxas de Juros Brasileiras* (Portuguese)
Ricardo D. Brito, Angelo José Mont’Alverne Duarte and Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén
May/2003     Abstract     Text

* Published in Revista de Econometria (Brazilian Review of Econometrics), Vol. 24, no. 1 (May 2004), title Overreaction of yield spreads and movements of Brazilian interest rates.


71.  On Shadow-Prices of Banks in Real-Time Gross Settlement Systems
Rodrigo Andrés de Souza Peñaloza
April/2003     Abstract   Text

70.  Monetary Policy Surprises and the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates*
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
February/2003     Abstract   Text

* A short version of this paper was published in Journal of Policy Modeling, Volume 26, Issue 3, April 2004, Pages 283-287


69.  r-filters: a Hodrick-Prescott Filter Generalization
Fabio Araujo, Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa and José Alvaro Rodrigues Neto
February/2003     Abstract   Text

68.  Real Balances in the Utility Function: Evidence for Brazil
Leonardo Soriano de Alencar and Márcio I. Nakane
February/2003     Abstract   Text

67.  Avaliação de Métodos de Cálculo de Exigência de Capital para Risco de Mercado de Carteiras de Ações no Brasil* (Portuguese)
Gustavo S. Araújo, João Maurício S. Moreira and Ricardo S. Maia Clemente
February/2003     Abstract   Text

* Published in RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea, Vol. 9, no. 2 (Apr-Jun 2005)


66.  A Taxa de Juros de Equilíbrio: uma Abordagem Múltipla (Portuguese)
Pedro Calhman de Miranda and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
February/2003     Abstract   Text

65.  On the Information Content of Oil Future Prices
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
February/2003     Abstract   Text

* Published in Economia Aplicada (Brazilian Journal of Applied Economics), Vol. 7, no. 1, (Jan-Mar 2003).


64.  Medium-Size Macroeconomic Model for the Brazilian Economy
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Sergio Afonso Lago Alves
February/2003     Abstract   Text

63.  Optimal Monetary Rules: The Case of Brazil
Charles Lima de Almeida, Marco Aurélio Peres, Geraldo da Silva e Souza and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
February/2003     Abstract   Text

* Published in Applied Economic Letters, Vol. 10, (2003).


62.  Taxa de Juros e Concentração Bancária no Brasil (Portuguese)
Eduardo Kiyoshi Tonooka and Sérgio Mikio Koyama
February/2003     Abstract   Text

 2002 top
61.  O Uso de Dados de Alta Freqüência na Estimação da Volatilidade e do Valor em Risco para o Ibovespa* (Portuguese)
João Maurício de Souza Moreira and Eduardo Facó Lemgruber
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in RBE - Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 58, no. 1 (Jan-Mar 2004)


60.  Delegated Portfolio Management
Paulo Coutinho and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

59.  Os Preços Administrados e a Inflação no Brasil (Portuguese)
Francisco Marcos R. Figueiredo and Thaís Porto Ferreira
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

58.  The Random Walk Hypothesis and the Behavior of Foreign Capital Portfolio Flows: the Brazilian Stock Market Case
Benjamin Miranda Tabak
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 13, (2003).


57.  As Leis de Falência: uma Abordagem Econômica (Portuguese)
Aloisio Araujo
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

56.  Causality and Cointegration in Stock Markets: The Case of Latin America
Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Eduardo José Araújo Lima
December, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Brazilian journal of Business Economics, Vol. 3, no. 2, (May-Aug 2003).


55.  Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil* (Portuguese)
Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo and Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén
November, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Monetaria, Vol. XXVIII, no. 1 (Enero-Marzo 2005), as Tasas de cupón de cambio en Brasil: componentes de corto y largo plazos


54.  Stock Returns and Volatility
Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Solange Maria Guerra
November, 2002  Abstract   Text

53.  Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Lessons and Challenges
André Minella, Paulo Springer de Freitas, Ilan Goldfajn and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
November, 2002  Abstract   Text

52.  Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Brazilian Data
José Fajardo and Aquiles Farias
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

51.  Credit Channel with Sovereign Credit Risk: an Empirical Test 
Victorio Yi Tson Chu
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

50.  Macroeconomic Coordination and Inflation Targeting in a Two-Country Model
Eui Jung Chang, Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos and Joanílio Rodolpho Teixeira
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

49.  Desenvolvimento do Sistema Financeiro e Crescimento Econômico no Brasil: Evidências de Causalidade (Portuguese)
Orlando Carneiro de Matos
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

48.  Should Government Smooth Exchange Rate Risk?*
Ilan Goldfajn and Marcos Antonio Silveira
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 69, no. 2 (Dec 2002): 393-421.


47.  Indicadores Derivados de Agregados Monetários (Portuguese)
Fernando de Aquino Fonseca Neto and José Albuquerque Júnior
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

46.  The Determinants of Bank Interest Spread in Brazil* 
Tarsila Segalla Afanasieff, Priscilla Maria Villa Lhacer and Márcio I. Nakane
August, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Money Affairs, Vol. 15, no. 2 (Jul-Dec 2002): 183-207.


45.  Optimal Monetary Policy, Gains from Commitment, and Inflation Persistence
André Minella
August, 2002  Abstract   Text

44.  Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberação Comercial no Brasil* (Portuguese)
Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira and Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén
June, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 58, no. 4 (Oct-Dec 2004)


43.  The Effects of the Brazilian ADRs Program on Domestic Market Efficiency* 
Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Eduardo José Araújo Lima
June, 2002  Abstract   Text

* Published in Journal of International Finance and Economics 2006, 3, p.114-134


42.  Modelo Estrutural com Setor Externo: Endogenização do Prêmio de Risco e do Câmbio(Portuguese)
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos, Sérgio Afonso Lago Alves and Gil Riella
June, 2002  Abstract   Text

41.  Mudanças de Regime no Câmbio Brasileiro(Portuguese)
Carlos Hamilton V. Araújo and Getúlio B. da Silveira Filho
June, 2002  Abstract   Text

40.  Speculative Attacks on Debts, Dollarization and Optimum Currency Areas 
Aloisio Araujo and Marcia Leon
April, 2002  Abstract   Text

39.  Opções sobre Dólar Comercial e Expectativas a Respeito do Comportamento da Taxa de Câmbio (Portuguese)
Paulo Castor de Castro
March, 2002  Abstract   Text

38.  Volatilidade Implícita e Antecipação de Eventos de Stress: um Teste para o Mercado Brasileiro (Portuguese)
Frederico Pechir Gomes
March, 2002  Abstract   Text

37.  Monetary Policy in Brazil: Remarks on the Inflation Targeting Regime, Public Debt Management and Open Market Operations 
Luiz Fernando Figueiredo, Pedro Fachada and Sérgio Goldenstein
March, 2002  Abstract   Text

36.  Can Emerging Markets Float? Should They Inflation Target? 
Barry Eichengreen
February, 2002  Abstract   Text

 2001 top
 
35.  Uma Definição Operacional de Estabilidade de Preços   (Portuguese)
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
December, 2001  Abstract   Text

An Operational Definition of Price Stability 
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
September, 2002  Abstract   Text

34.  Constrained Discretion and Collective Action Problems: Reflections on the Resolution of International Financial Crises 
Arminio Fraga and Daniel L. Gleizer
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

33.  Monetary Policy and Inflation in Brazil (1975-2000): a VAR Estimation* 
André Minella
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 57, no.3, pp. 605-635 (Jul-Sep 2003)


32.  Crises Cambiais e Ataques Especulativos no Brasil (Portuguese)
Mauro Costa Miranda
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

31.  Algumas Considerações Sobre a Sazonalidade no IPCA (Portuguese)
Francisco Marcos R. Figueiredo and Roberta Blass Staub
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

30.  Testing the Expectations Hypothesis in the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates 
Benjamin Miranda Tabak and Sandro Canesso de Andrade
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Finanças, Vol. 1, no. 1, (2003).


29.  Using a Money Demand Model to Evaluate Monetary Policies in Brazil 
Pedro H. Albuquerque and Solange Gouvea
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

28.  Regras Monetárias e Dinâmica Macroeconômica no Brasil: Uma Abordagem de Expectativas Racionais* (Portuguese)
Marco Antonio Bonomo and Ricardo D. Brito
November, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 56, no. 4 (Oct-Dec 2002).


27.  Complementaridade e Fungibilidade dos Fluxos de Capitais Internacionais (Portuguese)
Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo and Renato Galvão Flores Júnior
September, 2001  Abstract   Text

26.  Inflation Targeting in an Open Financially Integrated Emerging Economy: the case of Brazil 
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
August, 2001  Abstract   Text

25.  Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Reviewing Two Years of Monetary Policy 1999/00 
Pedro Fachada
August, 2001  Abstract   Text

24.  Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Shocks, Backward-Looking Prices, and IMF Conditionality* 
Joel Bogdanski, Paulo Springer de Freitas, Ilan Goldfajn and Alexandre Antonio Tombini
August, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Loayza, N. and Soto, R. (editors): Inflation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges, Santiago, Central Bank of Chile. pp. 539-582.


23.  Os Efeitos da CPMF sobre a Intermediação Financeira (Portuguese)
Sérgio Mikio Koyama and Márcio I. Nakane
July, 2001  Abstract   Text

22.  Decentralized Portfolio Management 
Paulo Coutinho and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
June, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Revista Brasileira de Finanças, Vol. 1, no. 2 (2003).


21.  Os Impactos Econômicos da CPMF: Teoria e Evidência* (Portuguese)
Pedro H. Albuquerque
June, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Finanças Públicas: VI Prêmio Tesouro Nacional - 2001. Brasília: STN, 2002, pp. 251-276.


20.  Credit Channel without the LM Curve* 
Victorio Y. T. Chu and Márcio I. Nakane
May, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Economia Aplicada (Brazilian Journal of Applied Economics), Vol. 5, no. 1 (Jan-Mar 2001): 213-227.


19.  Uncovered Interest Parity with Fundamentals: A Brazilian Exchange Rate Forecast Model* 
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos, Paulo Springer de Freitas and Fabio Araujo
May, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Mahadeva, L. e Sinclair, P. (editors): Monetary Transmission in Diverse Economies, Cambridge University Press.


18.  A Simple Model for Inflation Targeting in Brazil* 
Paulo Springer de Freitas and Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos
April, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Economia Aplicada (Brazilian Journal of Applied Economics), Vol. 6, no. 1 (Jan-Mar 2002): 31-48.


17.  Estimando o Produto Potencial Brasileiro: Uma Abordagem de Função de Produção (Portuguese)
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
April, 2001  Abstract   Text

Estimating Brazilian Potential Output: A Production Function Approach 
Tito Nícias Teixeira da Silva Filho
August, 2002  Abstract   Text

16.  Avaliação das Projeções do Modelo Estrutural do Banco Central do Brasil para a Taxa de Variação do IPCA (Portuguese)
Sergio Afonso Lago Alves
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

Evaluation of the Central Bank of Brazil Structural Model's Inflation Forecasts in an Inflation Targeting Framework 
Sergio Afonso Lago Alves
July, 2001  Abstract   Text

15.  Is it Worth Tracking Dollar/Real Implied Volatility? 
Sandro Canesso de Andrade and Benjamin Miranda Tabak
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Economia Aplicada (Brazilian Journal of Applied Economics), Vol. 5, no. 3 (Jul-Sep 2001).


14.  Evaluating Core Inflation Measures for Brazil 
Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

13.  Modelos de Previsão de Insolvência Bancária no Brasil (Portuguese)
Marcio Magalhães Janot
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

12.  A Test of Competition in Brazilian Banking* 
Márcio I. Nakane
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

* Published in Estudos Econômicos, Vol. 32, no. 2, (Apr-Jun 2002): 203-224.


11.  A Note on the Efficient Estimation of Inflation in Brazil 
Michael F. Bryan and Stephen G. Cecchetti
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

10.  Análise do Financiamento Externo a Uma Pequena Economia (Portuguese)
Carlos Halmiton Vasconcelos Araújo and Renato Galvão Flôres Júnior
March, 2001  Abstract   Text

 2000 top
 
9.  Estimating Exchange Market Pressure and Intervention Activity 
Emanuel-Werner Kohlscheen
November, 2000  Abstract   Text

8.  The Correlation Matrix of the Brazilian Central Bank's Standard Model for Interest Rate Market Risk 
José Alvaro Rodrigues Neto
September, 2000  Abstract   Text

7.  Leading Indicators of Inflation for Brazil 
Marcelle Chauvet
September, 2000  Abstract   Text

6.  Optimal Interest Rate Rules in Inflation Targeting Frameworks 
José Alvaro Rodrigues Neto, Fabio Araújo and Marta Baltar J. Moreira
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

5.  The Pass-through from Depreciation to Inflation: A Panel Study 
Ilan Goldfajn and Sérgio Ribeiro da Costa Werlang
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

4.  An Information Theory Approach to the Aggregation of Log-Linear Models* 
Pedro H. Albuquerque
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

* Published in Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 18, no. 6 (Nov 2003)


3.  Private Sector Participation: A Theoretical Justification of the Brazilian Position 
Sérgio Ribeiro da Costa Werlang
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

2.  Política Monetária e Supervisão do Sistema Financeiro Nacional no Banco Central do Brasil (Portuguese)
Eduardo Lundberg
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

Monetary Policy and Banking Supervision Functions on the Central Bank 
Eduardo Lundberg
July, 2000  Abstract   Text

1.  Implementing Inflation Targeting in Brazil 
Joel Bogdanski, Alexandre Antonio Tombini and Sérgio Ribeiro da Costa Werlang
July, 2000  Abstract   Text



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